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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.40+0.90vs Predicted
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2Ohio University0.13+1.37vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University0.59-0.21vs Predicted
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4Denison University-0.21-0.12vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University-0.25-1.05vs Predicted
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6Miami University-2.32+0.27vs Predicted
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7Ohio State University-1.99-1.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.9University of Michigan1.400.5%1st Place
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3.37Ohio University0.130.1%1st Place
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2.79Michigan State University0.590.2%1st Place
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3.88Denison University-0.210.1%1st Place
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3.95Michigan State University-0.250.1%1st Place
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6.27Miami University-2.320.0%1st Place
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5.84Ohio State University-1.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lane Tobin | 47.7% | 27.5% | 15.3% | 6.6% | 2.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Abby Freeman | 12.8% | 18.6% | 20.8% | 22.7% | 17.6% | 6.4% | 1.1% |
| Rachel Rantanen | 20.0% | 27.0% | 22.5% | 17.7% | 10.3% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Margot Sherman Jollis | 9.0% | 12.0% | 18.0% | 20.1% | 27.2% | 11.6% | 2.1% |
| Max Vinocur | 7.8% | 11.9% | 16.9% | 22.7% | 25.5% | 11.9% | 3.3% |
| Adam Cloch | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 4.1% | 7.2% | 27.1% | 57.6% |
| Anatoliy Kryvenko | 1.8% | 1.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 9.6% | 40.3% | 35.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.