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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.40+0.88vs Predicted
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2Michigan State University0.59+0.78vs Predicted
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3Ohio University0.13+0.40vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University-0.25-0.07vs Predicted
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5Denison University-0.21-1.11vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University-1.99-0.03vs Predicted
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7Miami University-2.32-0.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.88University of Michigan1.400.5%1st Place
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2.78Michigan State University0.590.2%1st Place
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3.4Ohio University0.130.1%1st Place
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3.93Michigan State University-0.250.1%1st Place
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3.89Denison University-0.210.1%1st Place
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5.97Ohio State University-1.990.0%1st Place
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6.16Miami University-2.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lane Tobin | 48.8% | 26.5% | 15.0% | 7.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Rantanen | 19.9% | 27.0% | 24.3% | 15.9% | 10.4% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Abby Freeman | 11.8% | 18.5% | 21.8% | 21.9% | 18.9% | 6.2% | 0.9% |
| Max Vinocur | 8.7% | 11.6% | 16.3% | 21.6% | 27.1% | 12.4% | 2.3% |
| Margot Sherman Jollis | 8.1% | 13.3% | 17.2% | 22.7% | 23.8% | 11.6% | 3.3% |
| Anatoliy Kryvenko | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 5.5% | 10.4% | 38.9% | 39.5% |
| Adam Cloch | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 28.1% | 53.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.