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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.40+0.89vs Predicted
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2Denison University-0.21+1.81vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University0.59-0.20vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University-0.25-0.06vs Predicted
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5Ohio University0.13-1.55vs Predicted
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6Miami University-2.32+0.26vs Predicted
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7Ohio State University-1.99-1.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.89University of Michigan1.400.5%1st Place
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3.81Denison University-0.210.1%1st Place
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2.8Michigan State University0.590.2%1st Place
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3.94Michigan State University-0.250.1%1st Place
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3.45Ohio University0.130.1%1st Place
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6.26Miami University-2.320.0%1st Place
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5.84Ohio State University-1.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lane Tobin | 48.0% | 27.9% | 14.3% | 7.2% | 2.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Margot Sherman Jollis | 9.1% | 11.9% | 19.6% | 22.3% | 25.0% | 9.5% | 2.6% |
| Rachel Rantanen | 20.2% | 27.1% | 21.1% | 18.4% | 10.4% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Max Vinocur | 8.7% | 11.5% | 17.0% | 20.9% | 26.3% | 13.0% | 2.6% |
| Abby Freeman | 11.6% | 18.0% | 21.2% | 22.1% | 18.6% | 6.9% | 1.6% |
| Adam Cloch | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 7.3% | 27.0% | 57.7% |
| Anatoliy Kryvenko | 1.6% | 1.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 10.1% | 40.6% | 35.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.