← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Michigan1.40+0.88vs Predicted
-
2Michigan State University-0.25+1.87vs Predicted
-
3Denison University-0.21+0.86vs Predicted
-
4Michigan State University0.59-1.18vs Predicted
-
5Ohio University0.13-1.55vs Predicted
-
6Ohio State University-1.99-0.04vs Predicted
-
7Miami University-2.32-0.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.88University of Michigan1.400.5%1st Place
-
3.87Michigan State University-0.250.1%1st Place
-
3.86Denison University-0.210.1%1st Place
-
2.82Michigan State University0.590.2%1st Place
-
3.45Ohio University0.130.1%1st Place
-
5.96Ohio State University-1.990.0%1st Place
-
6.16Miami University-2.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lane Tobin | 47.5% | 28.5% | 15.3% | 6.1% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Max Vinocur | 8.8% | 12.2% | 17.7% | 22.3% | 24.8% | 12.0% | 2.2% |
| Margot Sherman Jollis | 8.5% | 12.7% | 17.8% | 22.1% | 25.7% | 11.1% | 2.1% |
| Rachel Rantanen | 20.9% | 25.0% | 22.2% | 17.9% | 11.1% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Abby Freeman | 11.5% | 18.6% | 21.0% | 22.1% | 17.9% | 6.9% | 2.0% |
| Anatoliy Kryvenko | 1.4% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 11.3% | 38.5% | 39.4% |
| Adam Cloch | 1.4% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 28.6% | 54.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.