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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.40+0.87vs Predicted
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2Michigan State University0.59+0.77vs Predicted
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3Denison University-0.21+0.88vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University-0.25-0.08vs Predicted
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5Ohio University0.13-1.55vs Predicted
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6Miami University-2.32+0.27vs Predicted
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7Ohio State University-1.99-1.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.87University of Michigan1.400.5%1st Place
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2.77Michigan State University0.590.2%1st Place
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3.88Denison University-0.210.1%1st Place
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3.92Michigan State University-0.250.1%1st Place
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3.45Ohio University0.130.1%1st Place
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6.27Miami University-2.320.0%1st Place
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5.83Ohio State University-1.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lane Tobin | 49.2% | 26.5% | 15.3% | 6.8% | 2.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Rachel Rantanen | 20.3% | 28.2% | 21.3% | 17.1% | 11.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Margot Sherman Jollis | 8.1% | 11.8% | 18.1% | 23.1% | 25.7% | 11.1% | 2.1% |
| Max Vinocur | 8.5% | 12.8% | 16.0% | 21.6% | 25.5% | 13.0% | 2.6% |
| Abby Freeman | 11.5% | 17.3% | 22.9% | 20.8% | 19.2% | 6.7% | 1.6% |
| Adam Cloch | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 27.6% | 57.7% |
| Anatoliy Kryvenko | 1.5% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 10.3% | 39.8% | 35.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.