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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.40+0.89vs Predicted
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2Denison University-0.21+1.81vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University0.59-0.21vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University-0.25-0.06vs Predicted
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5Ohio University0.13-1.55vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University-1.99-0.03vs Predicted
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7Miami University-2.32-0.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.89University of Michigan1.400.5%1st Place
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3.81Denison University-0.210.1%1st Place
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2.79Michigan State University0.590.2%1st Place
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3.94Michigan State University-0.250.1%1st Place
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3.45Ohio University0.130.1%1st Place
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5.97Ohio State University-1.990.0%1st Place
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6.16Miami University-2.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lane Tobin | 47.8% | 28.2% | 14.4% | 7.0% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Margot Sherman Jollis | 9.1% | 12.0% | 19.8% | 22.3% | 24.1% | 10.3% | 2.4% |
| Rachel Rantanen | 20.2% | 27.3% | 21.5% | 18.1% | 10.2% | 2.6% | 0.1% |
| Max Vinocur | 8.8% | 11.3% | 17.1% | 20.7% | 26.8% | 12.6% | 2.7% |
| Abby Freeman | 11.6% | 18.1% | 21.3% | 21.8% | 19.3% | 6.0% | 1.9% |
| Anatoliy Kryvenko | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 5.5% | 10.2% | 39.4% | 39.3% |
| Adam Cloch | 1.4% | 1.1% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 28.8% | 53.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.