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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.27+1.15vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California3.12+0.24vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley1.18+1.28vs Predicted
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4University of California at Irvine0.90+0.63vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii3.04-2.57vs Predicted
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6California State University Monterey Bay0.19-0.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.15Stanford University3.270.3%1st Place
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2.24University of Southern California3.120.3%1st Place
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4.28University of California at Berkeley1.180.0%1st Place
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4.63University of California at Irvine0.900.0%1st Place
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2.43University of Hawaii3.040.3%1st Place
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5.28California State University Monterey Bay0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Mace | 33.8% | 31.0% | 24.1% | 8.8% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Emily Dahl | 33.3% | 25.9% | 27.2% | 11.2% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Megan Hayes | 4.2% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 33.0% | 30.5% | 16.4% |
| Kate Andersen | 2.0% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 23.4% | 37.4% | 24.6% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 25.2% | 29.0% | 28.9% | 12.0% | 4.3% | 0.6% |
| Maryan Gonnerman | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 11.6% | 23.6% | 57.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.