Race 10A

mcsa-open-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

64.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Braden Vogel 18.1% 15.1% 14.9% 12.2% 10.3% 9.6% 7.0% 5.5% 3.6% 1.9% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Andrew Michels 5.7% 7.4% 6.0% 8.7% 8.8% 9.6% 9.4% 10.0% 10.1% 9.6% 7.5% 5.2% 1.8% 0.3%
Timothy Hesse 19.1% 15.6% 13.2% 12.9% 9.7% 9.4% 8.6% 5.3% 3.3% 1.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Eric Brieden 12.4% 12.2% 13.6% 11.8% 10.7% 10.0% 8.9% 7.6% 5.9% 3.8% 1.5% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Greg Bittle 6.2% 7.9% 7.6% 8.0% 8.6% 9.1% 9.7% 10.1% 10.8% 7.8% 7.8% 4.2% 2.0% 0.3%
Mason Shaw 6.8% 7.4% 6.9% 8.7% 9.0% 8.6% 8.3% 10.3% 10.1% 10.2% 7.1% 4.0% 2.1% 0.2%
Jake Weinstein 11.2% 11.2% 10.4% 11.3% 10.8% 10.2% 9.9% 7.4% 7.1% 5.3% 2.9% 1.2% 0.7% 0.1%
Nithya Balachander 8.7% 8.8% 9.8% 10.2% 11.2% 11.0% 8.7% 9.6% 7.9% 7.2% 3.8% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1%
Jacqueline Ruggieri 3.6% 4.8% 5.6% 4.7% 6.0% 5.7% 7.8% 7.8% 10.0% 10.9% 12.6% 11.8% 7.0% 1.9%
Jack Rutherford 1.2% 2.1% 2.3% 2.2% 2.1% 3.3% 3.5% 4.9% 5.8% 8.8% 11.0% 17.2% 19.7% 16.1%
Nok In Chan 3.4% 3.5% 5.1% 3.5% 6.3% 6.3% 7.0% 9.8% 10.5% 11.5% 11.8% 11.1% 7.1% 3.0%
Jacob Hsia 1.3% 1.8% 2.2% 2.5% 2.9% 2.7% 4.7% 4.3% 6.6% 8.8% 12.7% 15.7% 20.2% 13.9%
Carly Irwin 1.4% 1.6% 1.6% 2.5% 2.9% 3.2% 4.3% 5.0% 5.2% 8.0% 14.1% 14.6% 21.1% 14.6%
Keegan Aerts 0.9% 0.7% 0.8% 0.8% 0.7% 1.3% 2.2% 2.3% 3.1% 4.6% 5.1% 10.7% 17.5% 49.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.