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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan2.29+0.17vs Predicted
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2Ohio University-1.21+2.29vs Predicted
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3Grand Valley State University-1.47+1.74vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University-0.39-0.89vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University-1.70+0.13vs Predicted
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6Miami University-2.69+0.58vs Predicted
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7Ohio State University-2.02-1.34vs Predicted
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8Denison University-1.90-2.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.17University of Michigan2.290.8%1st Place
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4.29Ohio University-1.210.0%1st Place
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4.74Grand Valley State University-1.470.0%1st Place
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3.11Michigan State University-0.390.1%1st Place
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5.13Michigan State University-1.700.0%1st Place
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6.58Miami University-2.690.0%1st Place
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5.66Ohio State University-2.020.0%1st Place
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5.33Denison University-1.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Goodrum | 84.9% | 13.3% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rob Berry | 2.5% | 14.5% | 20.6% | 19.5% | 17.2% | 12.3% | 9.4% | 4.0% |
| Max Merget | 2.3% | 10.6% | 15.6% | 18.0% | 17.0% | 15.3% | 14.4% | 6.8% |
| Timothy Dickey | 5.9% | 34.6% | 26.1% | 18.2% | 9.1% | 4.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% |
| Chelsea Bohn | 1.1% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 15.1% | 15.5% | 19.9% | 16.9% | 10.2% |
| Brittany Nordhaus | 0.4% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 18.5% | 45.1% |
| Logan Fleisher | 1.6% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 12.9% | 17.5% | 21.6% | 19.9% |
| William Griswold | 1.3% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 17.4% | 19.1% | 18.2% | 13.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.