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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan2.29+0.18vs Predicted
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2Ohio University-1.21+2.32vs Predicted
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3Grand Valley State University-1.47+1.71vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University-0.39-0.87vs Predicted
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5Miami University-2.69+1.62vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University-2.02-0.41vs Predicted
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7Denison University-1.90-1.56vs Predicted
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8Michigan State University-1.70-2.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.18University of Michigan2.290.8%1st Place
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4.32Ohio University-1.210.0%1st Place
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4.71Grand Valley State University-1.470.0%1st Place
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3.13Michigan State University-0.390.1%1st Place
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6.62Miami University-2.690.0%1st Place
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5.59Ohio State University-2.020.0%1st Place
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5.44Denison University-1.900.0%1st Place
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5.01Michigan State University-1.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Goodrum | 84.1% | 14.3% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rob Berry | 2.5% | 14.4% | 19.2% | 20.5% | 16.8% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 3.1% |
| Max Merget | 2.4% | 11.0% | 15.3% | 17.3% | 17.7% | 16.6% | 13.7% | 6.0% |
| Timothy Dickey | 5.8% | 34.3% | 26.3% | 18.3% | 8.6% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Brittany Nordhaus | 0.5% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 12.7% | 18.9% | 46.0% |
| Logan Fleisher | 1.6% | 5.7% | 9.1% | 13.1% | 13.9% | 18.0% | 19.8% | 18.8% |
| William Griswold | 1.8% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 14.4% | 18.3% | 19.4% | 16.3% |
| Chelsea Bohn | 1.3% | 9.4% | 13.8% | 13.2% | 20.1% | 17.9% | 15.1% | 9.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.