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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan-0.54+1.69vs Predicted
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2Ohio University-1.21+1.80vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University-0.39-0.47vs Predicted
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4Grand Valley State University-1.47+0.25vs Predicted
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5Miami University-2.69+1.14vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University-1.70-1.46vs Predicted
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7Denison University-1.90-2.08vs Predicted
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8Ohio State University-3.57-0.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.69University of Michigan-0.540.3%1st Place
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3.8Ohio University-1.210.1%1st Place
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2.53Michigan State University-0.390.3%1st Place
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4.25Grand Valley State University-1.470.1%1st Place
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6.14Miami University-2.690.0%1st Place
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4.54Michigan State University-1.700.1%1st Place
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4.92Denison University-1.900.1%1st Place
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7.13Ohio State University-3.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Jepsen | 27.7% | 25.7% | 18.3% | 13.6% | 9.6% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Rob Berry | 12.4% | 14.8% | 18.1% | 19.4% | 15.1% | 12.2% | 6.2% | 1.8% |
| Timothy Dickey | 31.1% | 25.2% | 19.9% | 12.1% | 8.0% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Merget | 9.4% | 11.5% | 15.2% | 15.4% | 19.9% | 16.7% | 9.5% | 2.4% |
| Brittany Nordhaus | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 16.5% | 32.5% | 23.8% |
| Chelsea Bohn | 8.8% | 8.6% | 12.3% | 16.3% | 18.6% | 18.4% | 13.5% | 3.5% |
| William Griswold | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 13.8% | 15.4% | 21.8% | 17.7% | 6.7% |
| Candace Lincoln | 0.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 8.0% | 18.3% | 61.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.