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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame1.23+3.15vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan1.29+1.86vs Predicted
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3Michigan Technological University0.97+2.19vs Predicted
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4Marquette University0.21+2.97vs Predicted
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5Columbia University0.09+2.33vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University0.68-0.35vs Predicted
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7Indiana University0.39-0.60vs Predicted
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8Hope College-0.31+0.64vs Predicted
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9Ohio State University-1.53+2.48vs Predicted
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10University of Saint Thomas-0.03-2.31vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin0.13-4.21vs Predicted
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12Washington University0.09-4.81vs Predicted
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13Grand Valley State University-1.70-1.23vs Predicted
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14Western Michigan University-1.85-2.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.15University of Notre Dame1.2317.8%1st Place
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3.86University of Michigan1.2918.5%1st Place
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5.19Michigan Technological University0.9712.0%1st Place
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6.97Marquette University0.216.3%1st Place
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7.33Columbia University0.095.4%1st Place
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5.65Northwestern University0.689.6%1st Place
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6.4Indiana University0.397.1%1st Place
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8.64Hope College-0.313.9%1st Place
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11.48Ohio State University-1.530.8%1st Place
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7.69University of Saint Thomas-0.034.5%1st Place
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6.79University of Wisconsin0.136.8%1st Place
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7.19Washington University0.095.9%1st Place
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11.77Grand Valley State University-1.700.8%1st Place
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11.9Western Michigan University-1.850.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payden Pittman | 17.8% | 14.6% | 15.2% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Billy Vogel | 18.5% | 18.3% | 15.8% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Rodenroth | 12.0% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Brian Zettlemoyer | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 0.3% |
| Alexander Sau Hang Ching | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Nicholas Chesemore | 9.6% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Lesinski | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Caroline Henry | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 13.7% | 12.8% | 8.8% | 2.7% |
| Quinn Schwarz | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 9.0% | 17.1% | 24.3% | 25.4% |
| Rakesh Dhiman | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 4.3% | 1.0% |
| Nigel Yu | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Xinshi Feng | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 6.5% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Nathaniel Bacheller | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 15.0% | 23.0% | 33.8% |
| William O'Haver | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 13.2% | 25.4% | 34.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.