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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California3.12+1.30vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii3.04+0.34vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley1.18+1.28vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.27-1.88vs Predicted
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5California State University Monterey Bay0.19+0.31vs Predicted
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6University of California at Irvine0.90-1.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.3University of Southern California3.120.3%1st Place
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2.34University of Hawaii3.040.3%1st Place
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4.28University of California at Berkeley1.180.1%1st Place
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2.12Stanford University3.270.3%1st Place
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5.31California State University Monterey Bay0.190.0%1st Place
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4.65University of California at Irvine0.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Dahl | 28.7% | 30.6% | 26.3% | 11.0% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 28.8% | 27.8% | 27.7% | 12.1% | 3.4% | 0.2% |
| Megan Hayes | 5.2% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 31.4% | 33.8% | 15.1% |
| Sarah Mace | 33.9% | 30.7% | 26.6% | 7.2% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Maryan Gonnerman | 0.8% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 11.4% | 22.1% | 59.8% |
| Kate Andersen | 2.6% | 2.6% | 7.3% | 26.9% | 36.2% | 24.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.