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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.29+2.91vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University0.68+3.81vs Predicted
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3University of Saint Thomas-0.03+4.80vs Predicted
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4Marquette University0.21+2.97vs Predicted
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5Michigan Technological University0.97+0.09vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin0.13+0.92vs Predicted
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7University of Notre Dame1.23-2.98vs Predicted
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8Hope College-0.31+0.68vs Predicted
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9Washington University0.09-1.69vs Predicted
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10Grand Valley State University-1.70+1.73vs Predicted
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11Indiana University0.39-4.75vs Predicted
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12Columbia University0.09-4.71vs Predicted
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13Ohio State University-1.53-1.56vs Predicted
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14Western Michigan University-1.85-2.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.91University of Michigan1.2919.7%1st Place
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5.81Northwestern University0.688.8%1st Place
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7.8University of Saint Thomas-0.035.0%1st Place
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6.97Marquette University0.216.3%1st Place
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5.09Michigan Technological University0.9712.3%1st Place
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6.92University of Wisconsin0.135.8%1st Place
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4.02University of Notre Dame1.2318.0%1st Place
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8.68Hope College-0.313.0%1st Place
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7.31Washington University0.094.4%1st Place
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11.73Grand Valley State University-1.701.3%1st Place
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6.25Indiana University0.398.2%1st Place
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7.29Columbia University0.094.8%1st Place
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11.44Ohio State University-1.531.1%1st Place
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11.78Western Michigan University-1.851.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Billy Vogel | 19.7% | 17.1% | 14.8% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Chesemore | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Rakesh Dhiman | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 5.3% | 1.0% |
| Brian Zettlemoyer | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 5.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Lucas Rodenroth | 12.3% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nigel Yu | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Payden Pittman | 18.0% | 17.3% | 14.6% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Henry | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 7.8% | 2.8% |
| Xinshi Feng | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 0.8% |
| Nathaniel Bacheller | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 13.9% | 24.1% | 34.0% |
| Bryce Lesinski | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Alexander Sau Hang Ching | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Quinn Schwarz | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 17.0% | 23.6% | 26.6% |
| William O'Haver | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 13.8% | 25.1% | 32.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.