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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.27+1.14vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California3.12+0.26vs Predicted
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3University of California at Irvine0.90+1.57vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii3.04-1.64vs Predicted
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5California State University Monterey Bay0.19+0.31vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley1.18-1.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.14Stanford University3.270.3%1st Place
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2.26University of Southern California3.120.3%1st Place
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4.57University of California at Irvine0.900.0%1st Place
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2.36University of Hawaii3.040.3%1st Place
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5.31California State University Monterey Bay0.190.0%1st Place
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4.35University of California at Berkeley1.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Mace | 33.8% | 31.2% | 24.8% | 7.8% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Emily Dahl | 31.2% | 29.3% | 25.6% | 10.4% | 3.2% | 0.3% |
| Kate Andersen | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 24.3% | 37.5% | 23.5% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 26.4% | 28.0% | 31.7% | 11.0% | 2.7% | 0.2% |
| Maryan Gonnerman | 0.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 12.1% | 22.5% | 59.3% |
| Megan Hayes | 3.8% | 4.7% | 8.7% | 34.4% | 32.0% | 16.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.