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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.09+1.81vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-0.42vs Predicted
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3University of Buffalo-0.79+1.26vs Predicted
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4Cornell University1.97-1.93vs Predicted
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5Princeton University-0.81-0.62vs Predicted
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6Rochester Institute of Technology-3.68-0.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.81Cornell University1.090.1%1st Place
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1.58Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.6%1st Place
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4.26University of Buffalo-0.790.0%1st Place
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2.07Cornell University1.970.3%1st Place
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4.38Princeton University-0.810.0%1st Place
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5.9Rochester Institute of Technology-3.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claire Riedman | 12.7% | 19.3% | 46.8% | 17.2% | 3.8% | 0.2% |
| Bailey Carter | 55.9% | 31.8% | 10.6% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jessica Abriss | 2.1% | 3.5% | 8.7% | 39.7% | 43.6% | 2.4% |
| Quinn Howes | 28.1% | 42.2% | 24.7% | 4.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sydney Mandelbaum | 1.2% | 3.0% | 8.7% | 35.2% | 47.6% | 4.3% |
| Katherine Curran | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 4.7% | 93.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.