← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Cornell University1.97+1.08vs Predicted
-
2Cornell University1.09+0.78vs Predicted
-
3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-1.43vs Predicted
-
4University of Buffalo-0.79+0.30vs Predicted
-
5Princeton University-0.81-0.62vs Predicted
-
6Rochester Institute of Technology-3.68-0.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.08Cornell University1.970.3%1st Place
-
2.78Cornell University1.090.1%1st Place
-
1.57Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.6%1st Place
-
4.3University of Buffalo-0.790.0%1st Place
-
4.38Princeton University-0.810.0%1st Place
-
5.9Rochester Institute of Technology-3.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinn Howes | 27.8% | 41.9% | 24.7% | 5.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Claire Riedman | 12.3% | 21.4% | 46.1% | 16.5% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Carter | 57.6% | 29.9% | 10.8% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jessica Abriss | 0.9% | 3.7% | 9.5% | 39.3% | 43.9% | 2.7% |
| Sydney Mandelbaum | 1.4% | 2.8% | 8.4% | 35.6% | 47.6% | 4.2% |
| Katherine Curran | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 4.4% | 93.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.