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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.97+1.08vs Predicted
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2University of Buffalo-0.79+2.31vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-1.44vs Predicted
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4Cornell University1.09-1.25vs Predicted
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5Princeton University-0.81-0.61vs Predicted
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6Rochester Institute of Technology-3.68-0.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.08Cornell University1.970.3%1st Place
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4.31University of Buffalo-0.790.0%1st Place
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1.56Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.6%1st Place
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2.75Cornell University1.090.1%1st Place
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4.39Princeton University-0.810.0%1st Place
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5.9Rochester Institute of Technology-3.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinn Howes | 28.3% | 40.4% | 26.5% | 4.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jessica Abriss | 1.2% | 3.4% | 8.6% | 39.5% | 44.6% | 2.7% |
| Bailey Carter | 57.0% | 31.7% | 9.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Claire Riedman | 12.0% | 21.7% | 46.7% | 18.0% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Sydney Mandelbaum | 1.5% | 2.6% | 8.2% | 34.9% | 48.3% | 4.5% |
| Katherine Curran | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.9% | 4.7% | 92.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.