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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+0.58vs Predicted
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2Cornell University1.97+0.04vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.09-0.22vs Predicted
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4University of Buffalo-0.79+0.30vs Predicted
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5Princeton University-0.81-0.61vs Predicted
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6Rochester Institute of Technology-3.68-0.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.58Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.6%1st Place
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2.04Cornell University1.970.3%1st Place
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2.78Cornell University1.090.1%1st Place
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4.3University of Buffalo-0.790.0%1st Place
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4.39Princeton University-0.810.0%1st Place
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5.9Rochester Institute of Technology-3.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bailey Carter | 55.0% | 33.1% | 10.5% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Howes | 30.3% | 40.4% | 24.4% | 4.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Claire Riedman | 12.7% | 18.8% | 49.0% | 16.7% | 2.7% | 0.1% |
| Jessica Abriss | 0.9% | 4.1% | 8.2% | 40.0% | 44.2% | 2.6% |
| Sydney Mandelbaum | 1.1% | 3.5% | 7.3% | 36.0% | 47.9% | 4.2% |
| Katherine Curran | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 4.6% | 93.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.