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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.97+1.10vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-0.43vs Predicted
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3University of Buffalo-0.79+1.26vs Predicted
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4Cornell University1.09-1.23vs Predicted
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5Princeton University-0.81-0.60vs Predicted
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6Rochester Institute of Technology-3.68-0.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.1Cornell University1.970.3%1st Place
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1.57Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.6%1st Place
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4.26University of Buffalo-0.790.0%1st Place
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2.77Cornell University1.090.1%1st Place
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4.4Princeton University-0.810.0%1st Place
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5.9Rochester Institute of Technology-3.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinn Howes | 27.5% | 41.7% | 25.3% | 4.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Carter | 57.7% | 29.6% | 11.2% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jessica Abriss | 2.3% | 3.8% | 8.2% | 39.0% | 44.3% | 2.4% |
| Claire Riedman | 11.6% | 21.3% | 48.2% | 15.9% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Sydney Mandelbaum | 0.9% | 3.4% | 6.6% | 37.4% | 47.2% | 4.5% |
| Katherine Curran | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 4.6% | 93.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.