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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.67+8.24vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+5.41vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania3.51+6.96vs Predicted
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4Boston College4.12+3.00vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.79+3.45vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.47+3.82vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College3.25+3.80vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-0.83vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.88-0.92vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida3.59-0.32vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.98+1.06vs Predicted
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12Boston University3.70-2.73vs Predicted
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13Yale University4.08-5.83vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.99-2.42vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College3.39-4.84vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-6.77vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.68-3.72vs Predicted
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18Fordham University3.25-7.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.24U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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7.41U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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9.96University of Pennsylvania3.510.0%1st Place
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7.0Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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8.45Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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9.82Tufts University3.470.0%1st Place
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10.8SUNY Maritime College3.250.0%1st Place
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7.17Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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8.08Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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9.68University of South Florida3.590.1%1st Place
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12.06Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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9.27Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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7.17Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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11.58University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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10.16Dartmouth College3.390.0%1st Place
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9.23Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.0%1st Place
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13.28Northeastern University2.680.0%1st Place
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10.62Fordham University3.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Snow | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 2.5% |
| Avery Fanning | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.1% |
| Raul Rios | 9.5% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.5% |
| Scott Barbano | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% |
| Zachary Hill | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 8.0% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Pearson Potts | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| Sean Cornell | 6.6% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.8% |
| Stewart Draheim | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 14.9% |
| Ryan Astwood | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% |
| Ian Barrows | 9.5% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Megan Yeigh | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 11.7% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% |
| Alexander Stewart | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 2.9% |
| Scott Goodrich | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 12.9% | 25.4% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.