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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.29+2.76vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University0.16+4.57vs Predicted
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3University of Saint Thomas-0.03+4.68vs Predicted
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4Marquette University0.21+2.82vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame1.23-0.94vs Predicted
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6Michigan Technological University0.97-0.93vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin0.13-0.20vs Predicted
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8Indiana University0.39-1.76vs Predicted
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9Hope College-0.31-0.44vs Predicted
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10Columbia University0.09-2.70vs Predicted
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11Washington University0.09-3.81vs Predicted
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12Grand Valley State University-1.70-0.35vs Predicted
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13Western Michigan University-1.85-1.16vs Predicted
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14Ohio State University-1.53-2.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.76University of Michigan1.2919.6%1st Place
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6.57Northwestern University0.166.5%1st Place
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7.68University of Saint Thomas-0.034.5%1st Place
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6.82Marquette University0.216.3%1st Place
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4.06University of Notre Dame1.2318.2%1st Place
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5.07Michigan Technological University0.9712.2%1st Place
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6.8University of Wisconsin0.136.2%1st Place
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6.24Indiana University0.398.2%1st Place
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8.56Hope College-0.313.7%1st Place
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7.3Columbia University0.095.8%1st Place
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7.19Washington University0.095.4%1st Place
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11.65Grand Valley State University-1.701.2%1st Place
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11.84Western Michigan University-1.851.1%1st Place
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11.46Ohio State University-1.531.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Billy Vogel | 19.6% | 18.1% | 15.5% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Grace Bray | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Rakesh Dhiman | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 4.5% | 1.5% |
| Brian Zettlemoyer | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Payden Pittman | 18.2% | 17.1% | 14.4% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Rodenroth | 12.2% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Nigel Yu | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Bryce Lesinski | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Caroline Henry | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 14.1% | 13.9% | 7.3% | 2.4% |
| Alexander Sau Hang Ching | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Xinshi Feng | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Nathaniel Bacheller | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 13.6% | 25.1% | 30.9% |
| William O'Haver | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 12.5% | 25.4% | 34.8% |
| Quinn Schwarz | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 16.0% | 24.2% | 26.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.