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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.27+1.14vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley1.18+2.31vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California3.12-0.75vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii3.04-1.65vs Predicted
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5University of California at Irvine0.90-0.34vs Predicted
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6California State University Monterey Bay0.19-0.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.14Stanford University3.270.3%1st Place
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4.31University of California at Berkeley1.180.0%1st Place
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2.25University of Southern California3.120.3%1st Place
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2.35University of Hawaii3.040.3%1st Place
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4.66University of California at Irvine0.900.0%1st Place
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5.28California State University Monterey Bay0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Mace | 34.3% | 31.6% | 22.4% | 9.4% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Megan Hayes | 3.9% | 4.8% | 11.2% | 32.2% | 32.1% | 15.8% |
| Emily Dahl | 31.0% | 28.2% | 28.1% | 10.2% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 26.9% | 29.0% | 29.3% | 12.0% | 2.7% | 0.1% |
| Kate Andersen | 2.9% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 22.6% | 36.7% | 26.9% |
| Maryan Gonnerman | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 13.6% | 24.1% | 56.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.