← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston University3.70+8.05vs Predicted
-
2Yale University4.08+5.45vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+4.50vs Predicted
-
4Harvard University3.79+4.41vs Predicted
-
5Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08+2.22vs Predicted
-
6Brown University3.88+2.15vs Predicted
-
7Fordham University3.25+3.84vs Predicted
-
8Dartmouth College3.39+2.10vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Naval Academy3.67-0.07vs Predicted
-
10University of South Florida3.59-0.32vs Predicted
-
11Roger Williams University2.98+1.04vs Predicted
-
12University of Vermont2.99+0.28vs Predicted
-
13SUNY Maritime College3.25-2.39vs Predicted
-
14Boston College4.12-7.14vs Predicted
-
15University of Pennsylvania3.51-5.33vs Predicted
-
16Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-6.72vs Predicted
-
17Tufts University3.47-7.00vs Predicted
-
18Northeastern University2.68-5.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.05Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
-
7.45Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
-
7.5U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
-
8.41Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
-
7.22Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
-
8.15Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
-
10.84Fordham University3.250.0%1st Place
-
10.1Dartmouth College3.390.0%1st Place
-
8.93U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
-
9.68University of South Florida3.590.1%1st Place
-
12.04Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
-
12.28University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
-
10.61SUNY Maritime College3.250.0%1st Place
-
6.86Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
-
9.67University of Pennsylvania3.510.0%1st Place
-
9.28Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.0%1st Place
-
10.0Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
-
12.92Northeastern University2.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Astwood | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 2.4% |
| Ian Barrows | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% |
| Avery Fanning | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.2% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Pearson Potts | 7.8% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.6% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.0% |
| Patrick Snow | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% |
| Sean Cornell | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.1% |
| Stewart Draheim | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 14.4% |
| Megan Yeigh | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 17.7% |
| Zachary Hill | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% |
| Raul Rios | 9.1% | 12.0% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% |
| Alexander Stewart | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 3.3% |
| Scott Barbano | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 4.8% |
| Scott Goodrich | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 13.3% | 20.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.