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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.12+6.36vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.08+5.43vs Predicted
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3Fordham University3.25+8.11vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.98+7.80vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+4.13vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.79+2.52vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College3.25+3.79vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania3.51+1.60vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.47+0.87vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.39+0.42vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.88-2.76vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida3.59-2.24vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-5.85vs Predicted
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14Boston University3.70-5.41vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy3.67-6.04vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University2.68-2.80vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont2.99-4.98vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-10.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.36Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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7.43Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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11.11Fordham University3.250.0%1st Place
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11.8Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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9.13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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8.52Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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10.79SUNY Maritime College3.250.0%1st Place
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9.6University of Pennsylvania3.510.1%1st Place
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9.87Tufts University3.470.0%1st Place
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10.42Dartmouth College3.390.1%1st Place
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8.24Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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9.76University of South Florida3.590.1%1st Place
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7.15Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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8.59Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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8.96U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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13.2Northeastern University2.680.0%1st Place
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12.02University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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7.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raul Rios | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Ian Barrows | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 7.5% |
| Stewart Draheim | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 14.3% |
| Alexander Stewart | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.3% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 1.6% |
| Zachary Hill | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.6% |
| Scott Barbano | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 3.4% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% |
| Pearson Potts | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% |
| Sean Cornell | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Ryan Astwood | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.2% |
| Patrick Snow | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 2.5% |
| Scott Goodrich | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 13.1% | 24.2% |
| Megan Yeigh | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 12.1% | 14.6% |
| Avery Fanning | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.