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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.12+6.34vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.79+6.73vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.08+4.49vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+3.16vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.98+6.78vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania3.51+3.71vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.39+3.20vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.88+0.10vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.70-0.19vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-2.49vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College3.25+0.01vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy3.67-2.65vs Predicted
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13Fordham University3.25-2.34vs Predicted
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14Tufts University3.47-4.46vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida3.59-5.67vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-6.70vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont2.99-4.93vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University2.68-5.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.34Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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8.73Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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7.49Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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7.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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11.78Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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9.71University of Pennsylvania3.510.1%1st Place
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10.2Dartmouth College3.390.0%1st Place
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8.1Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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8.81Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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7.51Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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11.01SUNY Maritime College3.250.0%1st Place
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9.35U. S. Naval Academy3.670.0%1st Place
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10.66Fordham University3.250.0%1st Place
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9.54Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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9.33University of South Florida3.590.1%1st Place
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9.3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.0%1st Place
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12.07University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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12.94Northeastern University2.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raul Rios | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.9% |
| Ian Barrows | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% |
| Avery Fanning | 10.2% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% |
| Stewart Draheim | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 12.8% | 14.1% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.6% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% |
| Pearson Potts | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.3% |
| Ryan Astwood | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 9.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Zachary Hill | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.2% |
| Patrick Snow | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 3.9% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% |
| Scott Barbano | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.4% |
| Sean Cornell | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.4% |
| Alexander Stewart | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% |
| Megan Yeigh | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 14.9% |
| Scott Goodrich | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 14.1% | 20.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.