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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.98+10.86vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College3.25+8.86vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.79+5.54vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+3.00vs Predicted
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5Yale University4.08+2.07vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.47+3.64vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.39+2.95vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.88-0.12vs Predicted
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9Boston College4.12-2.16vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-2.73vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.99+0.83vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy3.67-2.84vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania3.51-3.66vs Predicted
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14Boston University3.70-5.63vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida3.59-5.91vs Predicted
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16Fordham University3.25-5.31vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-4.08vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University2.68-5.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.86Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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10.86SUNY Maritime College3.250.0%1st Place
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8.54Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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7.0U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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7.07Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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9.64Tufts University3.470.0%1st Place
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9.95Dartmouth College3.390.0%1st Place
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7.88Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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6.84Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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7.27Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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11.83University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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9.16U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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9.34University of Pennsylvania3.510.1%1st Place
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8.37Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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9.09University of South Florida3.590.0%1st Place
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10.69Fordham University3.250.0%1st Place
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12.92Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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12.67Northeastern University2.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stewart Draheim | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 12.9% |
| Zachary Hill | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 5.8% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Avery Fanning | 9.9% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Ian Barrows | 9.6% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Scott Barbano | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% |
| Pearson Potts | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Raul Rios | 8.4% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 9.5% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Megan Yeigh | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 11.8% |
| Patrick Snow | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.5% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.3% |
| Ryan Astwood | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.6% |
| Sean Cornell | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.1% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% |
| Joseph Paggi | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 10.0% | 14.6% | 19.5% |
| Scott Goodrich | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 18.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.