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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.12+6.15vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.99+9.96vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.47+6.94vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida3.59+5.00vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.67+3.71vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.88+1.96vs Predicted
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7Fordham University3.25+3.59vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.79+0.25vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-1.99vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-2.67vs Predicted
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11Yale University4.08-3.79vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.98+0.03vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania3.51-3.67vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.39-4.32vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College3.25-4.47vs Predicted
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16Boston University3.70-7.27vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-4.09vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University2.68-5.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.15Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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11.96University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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9.94Tufts University3.470.0%1st Place
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9.0University of South Florida3.590.1%1st Place
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8.71U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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7.96Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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10.59Fordham University3.250.0%1st Place
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8.25Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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7.01Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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7.33U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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7.21Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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12.03Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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9.33University of Pennsylvania3.510.1%1st Place
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9.68Dartmouth College3.390.0%1st Place
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10.53SUNY Maritime College3.250.0%1st Place
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8.73Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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12.91Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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12.69Northeastern University2.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raul Rios | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% |
| Megan Yeigh | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 10.9% |
| Scott Barbano | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% |
| Sean Cornell | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% |
| Patrick Snow | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 2.4% |
| Pearson Potts | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Avery Fanning | 9.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 5.6% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Ian Barrows | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Stewart Draheim | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 13.1% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.9% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% |
| Zachary Hill | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% |
| Ryan Astwood | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.2% |
| Joseph Paggi | 2.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 21.1% |
| Scott Goodrich | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 13.7% | 18.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.