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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.70+7.85vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.12+5.09vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.79+5.51vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+2.98vs Predicted
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5Fordham University3.16+5.85vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.39+4.00vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.67+1.73vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.99+3.54vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida3.59+0.11vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania3.51-0.27vs Predicted
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11Yale University4.08-3.73vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.98+0.05vs Predicted
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13Tufts University3.47-3.55vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College3.25-3.77vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.88-7.14vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-8.89vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-4.14vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University2.68-5.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.85Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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7.09Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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8.51Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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6.98U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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10.85Fordham University3.160.0%1st Place
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10.0Dartmouth College3.390.0%1st Place
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8.73U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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11.54University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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9.11University of South Florida3.590.1%1st Place
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9.73University of Pennsylvania3.510.1%1st Place
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7.27Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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12.05Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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9.45Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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10.23SUNY Maritime College3.250.0%1st Place
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7.86Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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7.11Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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12.86Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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12.76Northeastern University2.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Astwood | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| Raul Rios | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.4% |
| Avery Fanning | 10.0% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% |
| Roberto Stevens | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.3% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% |
| Patrick Snow | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% |
| Megan Yeigh | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 11.4% |
| Sean Cornell | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.4% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.0% |
| Ian Barrows | 9.0% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Stewart Draheim | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 12.5% | 13.0% |
| Scott Barbano | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% |
| Zachary Hill | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% |
| Pearson Potts | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Joseph Paggi | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 12.9% | 19.5% |
| Scott Goodrich | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 18.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.