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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+6.28vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.08+5.22vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08+4.26vs Predicted
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4Boston College4.12+2.85vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania3.51+4.36vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.88+1.92vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.79+1.27vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.70+0.57vs Predicted
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9Fordham University3.16+2.02vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.39+0.20vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.98+0.83vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida3.59-2.48vs Predicted
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13Tufts University3.47-3.53vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy3.67-5.55vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.99-3.44vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University2.68-3.02vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-4.14vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College3.25-7.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.28U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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7.22Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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7.26Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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6.85Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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9.36University of Pennsylvania3.510.1%1st Place
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7.92Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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8.27Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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8.57Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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11.02Fordham University3.160.0%1st Place
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10.2Dartmouth College3.390.1%1st Place
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11.83Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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9.52University of South Florida3.590.1%1st Place
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9.47Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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8.45U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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11.56University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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12.98Northeastern University2.680.0%1st Place
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12.86Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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10.38SUNY Maritime College3.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avery Fanning | 7.7% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Ian Barrows | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Raul Rios | 10.0% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.4% |
| Pearson Potts | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.0% |
| Ryan Astwood | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.9% |
| Roberto Stevens | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 4.2% |
| Stewart Draheim | 3.9% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 12.6% |
| Sean Cornell | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.3% |
| Scott Barbano | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.7% |
| Patrick Snow | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.8% |
| Megan Yeigh | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 10.7% |
| Scott Goodrich | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 21.1% |
| Joseph Paggi | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 13.2% | 20.0% |
| Zachary Hill | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 4.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.