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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University3.16+10.38vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.88+6.33vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+4.47vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.99+7.68vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.39+5.12vs Predicted
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6Yale University4.08+1.25vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08+0.23vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania3.51+1.56vs Predicted
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9Boston College4.12-1.96vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.47+0.13vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.98+1.06vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-2.38vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.79-4.65vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida3.59-4.94vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College3.25-4.28vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy3.67-6.94vs Predicted
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17Boston University3.70-7.95vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University2.68-5.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.38Fordham University3.160.0%1st Place
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8.33Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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7.47U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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11.68University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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10.12Dartmouth College3.390.0%1st Place
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7.25Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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7.23Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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9.56University of Pennsylvania3.510.0%1st Place
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7.04Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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10.13Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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12.06Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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9.62Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.0%1st Place
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8.35Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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9.06University of South Florida3.590.1%1st Place
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10.72SUNY Maritime College3.250.0%1st Place
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9.06U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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9.05Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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12.89Northeastern University2.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roberto Stevens | 3.8% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 10.9% |
| Pearson Potts | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Avery Fanning | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% |
| Megan Yeigh | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 14.2% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% |
| Ian Barrows | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 8.7% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% |
| Raul Rios | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Scott Barbano | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.4% |
| Stewart Draheim | 3.7% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 15.0% |
| Alexander Stewart | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 3.0% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.0% |
| Sean Cornell | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 3.0% |
| Zachary Hill | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% |
| Patrick Snow | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.3% |
| Ryan Astwood | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 2.4% |
| Scott Goodrich | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 21.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.