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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.08+6.46vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.39+8.47vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College3.25+8.08vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.79+4.38vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.70+3.78vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.99+5.86vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+2.15vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania3.51+1.59vs Predicted
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9Boston College4.12-2.01vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.47+0.12vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy3.67-1.91vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-4.41vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida3.59-3.75vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.88-6.19vs Predicted
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15Fordham University3.16-3.85vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University2.98-4.02vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.68-3.79vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-10.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.46Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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10.47Dartmouth College3.390.0%1st Place
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11.08SUNY Maritime College3.250.0%1st Place
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8.38Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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8.78Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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11.86University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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9.15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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9.59University of Pennsylvania3.510.1%1st Place
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6.99Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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10.12Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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9.09U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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7.59U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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9.25University of South Florida3.590.1%1st Place
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7.81Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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11.15Fordham University3.160.0%1st Place
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11.98Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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13.21Northeastern University2.680.0%1st Place
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7.03Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Barrows | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% |
| Zachary Hill | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 6.5% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% |
| Ryan Astwood | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.7% |
| Megan Yeigh | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 12.9% |
| Alexander Stewart | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 3.7% |
| Raul Rios | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Scott Barbano | 5.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.6% |
| Patrick Snow | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% |
| Avery Fanning | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% |
| Sean Cornell | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.1% |
| Pearson Potts | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Roberto Stevens | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 9.4% |
| Stewart Draheim | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 14.0% |
| Scott Goodrich | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 14.3% | 23.7% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.