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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.27+8.42vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.87+9.15vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.73+4.41vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.58+7.87vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+2.57vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.77+1.12vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27+2.22vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.72-0.75vs Predicted
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9Fordham University3.52-0.90vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.43-1.16vs Predicted
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11Boston University3.24-1.56vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.49-3.33vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy3.44-4.69vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.60-2.31vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania2.87-4.11vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida2.54-3.63vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59-8.94vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College2.14-4.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.42Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
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11.15Dartmouth College2.870.0%1st Place
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7.41Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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11.87University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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7.57U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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7.12Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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9.22Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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7.25Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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8.1Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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8.84Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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9.44Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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8.67Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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8.31U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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11.69Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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10.89University of Pennsylvania2.870.0%1st Place
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12.37University of South Florida2.540.0%1st Place
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8.06Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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13.59SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Allman | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.6% |
| Nathaniel Johansson | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.9% |
| Charles Sinks | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Adam Ceely | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 12.7% | 12.4% |
| Nikole Barnes | 8.2% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 9.1% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| David Larson | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.6% |
| Joseph Kiss | 7.9% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Will Holz | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Marek Zaleski | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 1.5% |
| Ravi Parent | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% |
| John Rolander | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| Michael Popp | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 12.9% |
| Drew Gallagher | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.3% |
| Michael Trebilcock | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 13.3% | 14.7% |
| Charles Miller | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| John Lawless | 2.4% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 14.1% | 26.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.