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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan Technological University0.97+4.18vs Predicted
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2University of Notre Dame1.23+1.95vs Predicted
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3Indiana University0.39+3.21vs Predicted
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4Marquette University0.21+2.92vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University0.16+1.65vs Predicted
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6Purdue University-0.10+1.75vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin0.13-0.27vs Predicted
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8University of Saint Thomas-0.03-0.46vs Predicted
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9Washington University0.09-1.88vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan1.29-6.21vs Predicted
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11Grand Valley State University-1.70+0.67vs Predicted
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12Hope College-0.31-3.59vs Predicted
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13Western Michigan University-1.85-1.30vs Predicted
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14Ohio State University-1.53-2.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.18Michigan Technological University0.9711.9%1st Place
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3.95University of Notre Dame1.2318.4%1st Place
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6.21Indiana University0.397.4%1st Place
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6.92Marquette University0.215.7%1st Place
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6.65Northwestern University0.167.0%1st Place
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7.75Purdue University-0.105.1%1st Place
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6.73University of Wisconsin0.136.0%1st Place
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7.54University of Saint Thomas-0.035.3%1st Place
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7.12Washington University0.096.3%1st Place
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3.79University of Michigan1.2920.5%1st Place
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11.67Grand Valley State University-1.700.9%1st Place
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8.41Hope College-0.313.5%1st Place
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11.7Western Michigan University-1.850.8%1st Place
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11.38Ohio State University-1.531.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Rodenroth | 11.9% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Payden Pittman | 18.4% | 16.0% | 16.1% | 13.7% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Lesinski | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Brian Zettlemoyer | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 0.6% |
| Grace Bray | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Nathanael Green | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 4.4% | 1.1% |
| Nigel Yu | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Rakesh Dhiman | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 0.9% |
| Xinshi Feng | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Billy Vogel | 20.5% | 17.6% | 15.2% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Bacheller | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 13.4% | 24.4% | 31.8% |
| Caroline Henry | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 13.4% | 7.3% | 2.6% |
| William O'Haver | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 13.8% | 21.9% | 34.8% |
| Quinn Schwarz | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 14.9% | 24.9% | 26.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.