Race 1A

cary-price

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Matthew Graham 35.5% 25.0% 17.9% 11.9% 5.8% 2.6% 0.9% 0.4%
Geoff Pedrick 19.4% 23.0% 18.2% 16.0% 11.5% 7.9% 3.2% 0.8%
Adam Gilbertson 4.8% 6.4% 8.4% 10.4% 10.2% 15.8% 21.7% 22.3%
Phil Holt 4.6% 5.5% 5.7% 9.5% 12.4% 15.2% 20.2% 26.9%
Samuel Todd 7.3% 9.4% 11.3% 14.8% 16.2% 15.5% 15.3% 10.2%
Eric Tobias 7.3% 8.0% 11.7% 12.9% 15.4% 16.4% 15.8% 12.5%
Braden Solum 17.8% 16.5% 19.9% 16.7% 13.7% 8.5% 5.0% 1.9%
Elizabeth Werley 3.3% 6.2% 6.9% 7.8% 14.8% 18.1% 17.9% 25.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.