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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+6.85vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.73+5.41vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.24+6.59vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.72+3.25vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.87+5.77vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.87+4.90vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59+0.87vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.77-0.94vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27+0.20vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy3.44-1.24vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.60+1.17vs Predicted
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12Harvard University3.43-3.11vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.27-3.89vs Predicted
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14Fordham University3.52-6.17vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College2.14-1.32vs Predicted
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16Tufts University3.49-7.64vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont2.58-4.77vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida2.54-5.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.85U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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7.41Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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9.59Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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7.25Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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10.77University of Pennsylvania2.870.0%1st Place
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10.9Dartmouth College2.870.0%1st Place
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7.87Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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7.06Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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9.2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.0%1st Place
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8.76U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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12.17Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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8.89Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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9.11Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
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7.83Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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13.68SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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8.36Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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12.23University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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12.08University of South Florida2.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikole Barnes | 6.7% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Charles Sinks | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Ravi Parent | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 2.5% |
| Joseph Kiss | 8.6% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Drew Gallagher | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 6.9% |
| Nathaniel Johansson | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% |
| Charles Miller | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| David Larson | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.8% |
| Michael Popp | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.0% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 13.3% | 13.5% |
| Marek Zaleski | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.8% |
| Nathan Allman | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 2.4% |
| Will Holz | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| John Lawless | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 12.4% | 28.1% |
| John Rolander | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 1.2% |
| Adam Ceely | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 14.2% |
| Michael Trebilcock | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 12.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.