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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+6.82vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.24+7.58vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27+6.45vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.77+3.08vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.27+4.12vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.73+1.30vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.43+1.50vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.58+3.99vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.87+1.85vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59-1.88vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.72-3.56vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.49-3.39vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy3.44-4.67vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.60-2.30vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida2.54-2.80vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College2.14-2.17vs Predicted
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17Fordham University3.52-8.67vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania2.87-7.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.82U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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9.58Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
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9.45Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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7.08Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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9.12Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
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7.3Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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8.5Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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11.99University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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10.85Dartmouth College2.870.0%1st Place
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8.12Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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7.44Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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8.61Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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8.33U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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11.7Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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12.2University of South Florida2.540.0%1st Place
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13.83SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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8.33Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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10.75University of Pennsylvania2.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikole Barnes | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Ravi Parent | 4.3% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.9% |
| David Larson | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 2.1% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 9.2% | 10.6% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Nathan Allman | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 2.2% |
| Charles Sinks | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% |
| Marek Zaleski | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 1.6% |
| Adam Ceely | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 13.0% |
| Nathaniel Johansson | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% |
| Charles Miller | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 0.5% |
| Joseph Kiss | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% |
| John Rolander | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 2.3% |
| Michael Popp | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.0% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 12.6% |
| Michael Trebilcock | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 13.9% | 13.8% |
| Peter Maes | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 12.8% | 29.9% |
| Will Holz | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Drew Gallagher | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.