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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.87+10.11vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+5.75vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.43+5.79vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.58+7.89vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.73+2.24vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27+3.25vs Predicted
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7Fordham University3.52+1.10vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.24+1.27vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College2.14+4.70vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University3.77-2.62vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.60+1.17vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy3.44-3.14vs Predicted
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13Tufts University3.49-4.87vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.27-5.09vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania2.87-4.13vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59-8.05vs Predicted
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17Yale University3.72-9.47vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida2.54-5.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.11Dartmouth College2.870.0%1st Place
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7.75U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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8.79Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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11.89University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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7.24Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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9.25Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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8.1Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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9.27Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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13.7SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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7.38Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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12.17Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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8.86U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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8.13Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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8.91Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
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10.87University of Pennsylvania2.870.0%1st Place
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7.95Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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7.53Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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12.1University of South Florida2.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathaniel Johansson | 3.6% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 8.7% |
| Nikole Barnes | 6.3% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Marek Zaleski | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
| Adam Ceely | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 13.1% |
| Charles Sinks | 9.1% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| David Larson | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 2.5% |
| Will Holz | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% |
| Ravi Parent | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.2% |
| John Lawless | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 14.7% | 26.1% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 13.0% | 13.9% |
| Michael Popp | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
| John Rolander | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Nathan Allman | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.8% |
| Drew Gallagher | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% |
| Charles Miller | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Joseph Kiss | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Michael Trebilcock | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 13.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.