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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.27+8.39vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.43+6.72vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+4.80vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.87+6.74vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.77+2.10vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.24+3.34vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.73+0.27vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.72-0.77vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.58+3.12vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy3.44-1.22vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27-1.67vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59-3.78vs Predicted
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13Tufts University3.49-4.84vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.60-2.29vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida2.54-2.74vs Predicted
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16Fordham University3.52-7.81vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania2.87-5.92vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College2.14-4.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.39Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
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8.72Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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7.8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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10.74Dartmouth College2.870.0%1st Place
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7.1Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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9.34Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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7.27Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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7.23Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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12.12University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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8.78U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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9.33Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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8.22Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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8.16Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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11.71Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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12.26University of South Florida2.540.0%1st Place
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8.19Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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11.08University of Pennsylvania2.870.0%1st Place
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13.56SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Allman | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.3% |
| Marek Zaleski | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| Nikole Barnes | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Nathaniel Johansson | 3.8% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.3% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 8.4% | 11.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Ravi Parent | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.3% |
| Charles Sinks | 8.0% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Joseph Kiss | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Adam Ceely | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 13.6% | 11.2% |
| Michael Popp | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.8% |
| David Larson | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.1% |
| Charles Miller | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| John Rolander | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 11.8% |
| Michael Trebilcock | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 14.6% |
| Will Holz | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% |
| Drew Gallagher | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.6% |
| John Lawless | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 12.7% | 27.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.