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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27+8.48vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+5.83vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.73+4.47vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.24+5.21vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.77+2.14vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.27+3.22vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59+0.78vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.44+0.39vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.58+3.09vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.72-2.44vs Predicted
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11Tufts University3.49-2.54vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania2.87-0.70vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.43-4.61vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College2.14-0.60vs Predicted
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15Fordham University3.52-6.93vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University2.60-3.87vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida2.54-4.61vs Predicted
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18Dartmouth College2.87-7.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.48Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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7.83U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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7.47Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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9.21Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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7.14Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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9.22Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
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7.78Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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8.39U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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12.09University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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7.56Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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8.46Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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11.3University of Pennsylvania2.870.0%1st Place
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8.39Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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13.4SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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8.07Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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12.13Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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12.39University of South Florida2.540.0%1st Place
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10.68Dartmouth College2.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Larson | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 3.3% |
| Nikole Barnes | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Charles Sinks | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Ravi Parent | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.0% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 8.8% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Nathan Allman | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.4% |
| Charles Miller | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Michael Popp | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.6% |
| Adam Ceely | 2.7% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 10.8% |
| Joseph Kiss | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| John Rolander | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 2.0% |
| Drew Gallagher | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 9.2% |
| Marek Zaleski | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| John Lawless | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 15.1% | 25.4% |
| Will Holz | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 14.1% |
| Michael Trebilcock | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 15.5% |
| Nathaniel Johansson | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.