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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+6.78vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.58+10.39vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.60+9.27vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.73+3.18vs Predicted
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5Fordham University3.52+3.08vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.43+2.52vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59+0.86vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.44+0.40vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.24+0.29vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.72-2.47vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania2.870.00vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.27-2.45vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.87-2.26vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University3.77-7.09vs Predicted
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15Tufts University3.49-6.76vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27-6.68vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida2.54-4.58vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College2.14-4.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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12.39University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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12.27Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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7.18Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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8.08Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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8.52Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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7.86Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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8.4U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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9.29Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
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7.53Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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11.0University of Pennsylvania2.870.0%1st Place
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9.55Brown University3.270.0%1st Place
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10.74Dartmouth College2.870.0%1st Place
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6.91Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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8.24Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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9.32Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.0%1st Place
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12.42University of South Florida2.540.0%1st Place
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13.52SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikole Barnes | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Adam Ceely | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 13.9% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 14.3% |
| Charles Sinks | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.0% |
| Will Holz | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% |
| Marek Zaleski | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| Charles Miller | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| Michael Popp | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.3% |
| Ravi Parent | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| Joseph Kiss | 9.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Drew Gallagher | 4.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 6.2% |
| Nathan Allman | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% |
| Nathaniel Johansson | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.1% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 8.6% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| John Rolander | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| David Larson | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.0% |
| Michael Trebilcock | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 15.3% |
| John Lawless | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 13.5% | 25.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.