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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.90+9.83vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.72+5.34vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59+5.02vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.44+4.24vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.77+1.97vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.43+2.36vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.73+0.13vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-0.56vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.27+0.05vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.87+1.04vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania2.87-0.09vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.60+0.26vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.58-1.22vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida2.54-2.19vs Predicted
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15Boston University3.24-5.88vs Predicted
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16Fordham University3.52-7.96vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27-7.77vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College2.14-4.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.83Tufts University2.900.0%1st Place
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7.34Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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8.02Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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8.24U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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6.97Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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8.36Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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7.13Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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7.44U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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9.05Brown University3.270.0%1st Place
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11.04Dartmouth College2.870.0%1st Place
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10.91University of Pennsylvania2.870.0%1st Place
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12.26Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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11.78University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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11.81University of South Florida2.540.0%1st Place
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9.12Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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8.04Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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9.23Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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13.44SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Moody | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.9% |
| Joseph Kiss | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.6% |
| Charles Miller | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Michael Popp | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.7% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 9.8% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Marek Zaleski | 7.1% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.7% |
| Charles Sinks | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Nikole Barnes | 7.8% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Nathan Allman | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.9% |
| Nathaniel Johansson | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% |
| Drew Gallagher | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.6% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 15.2% |
| Adam Ceely | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 12.3% |
| Michael Trebilcock | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 12.3% |
| Ravi Parent | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.6% |
| Will Holz | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| David Larson | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 1.9% |
| Peter Maes | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 14.0% | 23.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.