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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.43+4.58vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.79+0.77vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.97+1.38vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.83+3.14vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.52+0.48vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.66+1.62vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.75-2.28vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.38-4.44vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.33-0.64vs Predicted
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10University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.45+0.46vs Predicted
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11Wentworth Institute of Technology0.87-1.53vs Predicted
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12Brandeis University-0.91+0.72vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College0.24-3.27vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut-0.48-2.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.58Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
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2.77Boston College3.790.3%1st Place
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4.38Roger Williams University2.970.1%1st Place
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7.14University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
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5.48Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.520.1%1st Place
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7.62Northeastern University1.660.0%1st Place
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4.72Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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3.56Tufts University3.380.2%1st Place
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8.36Boston University1.330.0%1st Place
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10.46University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.450.0%1st Place
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9.47Wentworth Institute of Technology0.870.0%1st Place
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12.72Brandeis University-0.910.0%1st Place
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10.73Middlebury College0.240.0%1st Place
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12.01University of Connecticut-0.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Balk | 7.4% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 14.6% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Richard Jones | 28.4% | 24.6% | 19.1% | 12.4% | 7.5% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kendal Richardson | 13.0% | 14.0% | 14.3% | 11.7% | 14.4% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Girard | 3.5% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Hall | 6.4% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 13.6% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kurran Singh | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 11.1% | 14.4% | 14.7% | 12.2% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 11.5% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 13.7% | 12.3% | 14.0% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Beatty | 19.6% | 18.3% | 16.6% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Campbell | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 12.4% | 15.7% | 15.2% | 13.2% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 0.7% |
| Noah Brayer | 1.4% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 12.1% | 16.5% | 20.5% | 14.7% | 8.1% |
| Benjamin Eley | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 13.3% | 14.5% | 16.1% | 14.9% | 9.5% | 2.1% |
| Sabrina McDonnell | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 12.4% | 21.0% | 50.5% |
| Jade Forsberg | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 11.0% | 16.6% | 21.3% | 16.1% | 11.2% |
| Martin Hooker | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 6.3% | 10.0% | 13.2% | 31.1% | 27.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.