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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Ryan Mullins 34.7% 26.2% 18.0% 10.9% 6.6% 2.2% 1.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sam Millham 6.8% 6.5% 9.8% 16.0% 17.8% 19.0% 13.4% 7.8% 2.5% 0.4%
Tom McKenzie 1.7% 2.1% 3.5% 4.9% 5.8% 10.0% 14.7% 26.8% 26.3% 4.2%
Joseph Kelleher 25.2% 28.4% 22.0% 12.8% 7.3% 3.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Jeff Goodrich 17.7% 18.7% 20.7% 19.5% 13.3% 5.7% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Kevin Walsh 5.0% 5.3% 6.9% 10.6% 14.9% 16.0% 19.2% 15.8% 5.7% 0.6%
Lucas Campbell 3.1% 3.3% 6.5% 9.5% 13.6% 17.9% 21.2% 16.6% 7.1% 1.2%
Thomas Presti 4.6% 8.1% 11.2% 12.3% 16.0% 18.9% 14.8% 9.6% 4.5% 0.0%
Gabrielle Heine 1.0% 1.2% 1.3% 3.2% 4.4% 6.3% 9.3% 18.7% 44.8% 9.8%
Noah Aschen 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.7% 2.3% 3.3% 8.8% 83.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.