← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Harvard University2.17+4.21vs Predicted
-
2Roger Williams University1.97+4.41vs Predicted
-
3Northeastern University0.01+9.46vs Predicted
-
4Brown University1.69+2.78vs Predicted
-
5Bowdoin College1.84+1.27vs Predicted
-
6Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.75+4.93vs Predicted
-
7Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.81+1.17vs Predicted
-
8University of Vermont-0.05+5.23vs Predicted
-
9Tufts University1.15-0.58vs Predicted
-
10Boston College2.09-4.76vs Predicted
-
11Dartmouth College1.71-4.49vs Predicted
-
12Tufts University1.01-2.65vs Predicted
-
13Yale University1.19-4.76vs Predicted
-
14University of Rhode Island0.99-4.97vs Predicted
-
15Connecticut College-0.13-1.26vs Predicted
-
16U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.49-5.47vs Predicted
-
17Williams College-1.54-0.65vs Predicted
-
18Boston University-0.48-3.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.21Harvard University2.1714.7%1st Place
-
6.41Roger Williams University1.979.4%1st Place
-
12.46Northeastern University0.011.8%1st Place
-
6.78Brown University1.698.3%1st Place
-
6.27Bowdoin College1.8410.1%1st Place
-
10.93Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.752.8%1st Place
-
8.17Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.815.7%1st Place
-
13.23University of Vermont-0.051.8%1st Place
-
8.42Tufts University1.155.2%1st Place
-
5.24Boston College2.0912.0%1st Place
-
6.51Dartmouth College1.719.2%1st Place
-
9.35Tufts University1.014.1%1st Place
-
8.24Yale University1.195.0%1st Place
-
9.03University of Rhode Island0.994.2%1st Place
-
13.74Connecticut College-0.131.0%1st Place
-
10.53U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.493.0%1st Place
-
16.35Williams College-1.540.6%1st Place
-
14.15Boston University-0.481.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zoey Ziskind | 14.7% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Meagher | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Isabella Cho | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 4.8% |
| Katherine McNamara | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Russler | 10.1% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Barry | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 1.8% |
| Emma Wang | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Ella Towner | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 11.9% | 16.4% | 15.7% | 8.2% |
| Ella Hubbard | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 12.0% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| bella casaretto | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Elle Sykes | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 11.6% | 14.6% | 19.4% | 11.6% |
| Ella Demand | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 4.2% | 1.3% |
| Tess Halpern | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 8.1% | 15.8% | 56.9% |
| Sage Andrews | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 14.8% | 21.9% | 14.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.