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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota2.21+2.63vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan2.86+0.70vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University0.91+3.29vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin1.29+1.31vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University2.38-1.71vs Predicted
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6Purdue University1.40-0.85vs Predicted
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7Purdue University0.83-0.61vs Predicted
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8University of Notre Dame0.81-1.63vs Predicted
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9Queen's University1.06-3.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.63University of Minnesota2.210.2%1st Place
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2.7University of Michigan2.860.3%1st Place
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6.29Ohio State University0.910.0%1st Place
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5.31University of Wisconsin1.290.1%1st Place
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3.29Northwestern University2.380.2%1st Place
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5.15Purdue University1.400.1%1st Place
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6.39Purdue University0.830.0%1st Place
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6.37University of Notre Dame0.810.0%1st Place
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5.88Queen's University1.060.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braden Solum | 17.2% | 16.4% | 17.8% | 16.5% | 12.7% | 9.8% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Matthew Graham | 27.9% | 25.5% | 20.7% | 11.7% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Adam Gilbertson | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 15.1% | 19.8% | 20.0% |
| Eric Tobias | 6.3% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 14.8% | 13.9% | 12.0% | 12.9% | 9.6% |
| Geoff Pedrick | 22.1% | 20.8% | 16.7% | 14.0% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Samuel Todd | 7.7% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 14.9% | 14.5% | 14.0% | 10.2% | 7.9% |
| Phil Holt | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 12.6% | 15.4% | 18.3% | 22.3% |
| Elizabeth Werley | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 14.6% | 17.4% | 23.7% |
| William Schwenger | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 13.8% | 16.2% | 15.3% | 15.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.