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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.52+4.43vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.83+4.97vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.79-0.23vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.75+0.96vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.38-1.41vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.97-1.49vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.43-1.53vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.33+0.30vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.66-1.35vs Predicted
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11Brandeis University-0.91+1.74vs Predicted
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12Middlebury College0.24-1.12vs Predicted
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13Wentworth Institute of Technology0.87-3.54vs Predicted
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14University of Connecticut-0.48-2.03vs Predicted
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15University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.45-4.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.43Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.520.1%1st Place
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6.97University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
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2.77Boston College3.790.3%1st Place
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4.96Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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3.59Tufts University3.380.2%1st Place
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4.51Roger Williams University2.970.1%1st Place
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5.47Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
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8.3Boston University1.330.0%1st Place
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7.65Northeastern University1.660.0%1st Place
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12.74Brandeis University-0.910.0%1st Place
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10.88Middlebury College0.240.0%1st Place
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9.46Wentworth Institute of Technology0.870.0%1st Place
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11.97University of Connecticut-0.480.0%1st Place
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10.29University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Hall | 7.3% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 13.8% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 6.8% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Peter Girard | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 11.4% | 13.8% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 6.8% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Richard Jones | 31.7% | 21.3% | 16.8% | 13.4% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 8.9% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 13.3% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Beatty | 17.4% | 19.8% | 16.9% | 14.5% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kendal Richardson | 12.6% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 14.1% | 14.5% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Balk | 8.1% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 14.4% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Campbell | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 13.8% | 14.2% | 14.3% | 9.3% | 3.8% | 0.4% |
| Kurran Singh | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 14.9% | 14.1% | 14.2% | 8.6% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Sabrina McDonnell | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 12.3% | 20.9% | 51.9% |
| Jade Forsberg | 0.3% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 15.0% | 20.7% | 21.2% | 9.7% |
| Benjamin Eley | 1.0% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 17.1% | 17.8% | 12.4% | 9.1% | 2.8% |
| Martin Hooker | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 14.8% | 28.4% | 28.9% |
| Noah Brayer | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 12.1% | 17.1% | 22.0% | 13.8% | 5.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.