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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.79+1.85vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.52+3.21vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.83+4.08vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.38-0.39vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.75-0.01vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.45+4.48vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.33+0.14vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.97-4.60vs Predicted
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10Wentworth Institute of Technology0.87-0.54vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.43-5.29vs Predicted
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12Middlebury College0.24-1.15vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.66-5.46vs Predicted
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14University of Connecticut-0.48-1.98vs Predicted
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15Brandeis University-0.91-2.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.85Boston College3.790.3%1st Place
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5.21Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.520.1%1st Place
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7.08University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
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3.61Tufts University3.380.2%1st Place
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4.99Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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10.48University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.450.0%1st Place
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8.14Boston University1.330.0%1st Place
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4.4Roger Williams University2.970.1%1st Place
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9.46Wentworth Institute of Technology0.870.0%1st Place
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5.71Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
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10.85Middlebury College0.240.0%1st Place
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7.54Northeastern University1.660.0%1st Place
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12.02University of Connecticut-0.480.0%1st Place
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12.66Brandeis University-0.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Jones | 30.3% | 23.0% | 15.9% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Hall | 8.9% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 13.3% | 13.1% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Peter Girard | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 14.9% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| James Beatty | 18.5% | 19.2% | 14.9% | 16.9% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 8.7% | 9.5% | 13.1% | 14.1% | 12.8% | 13.1% | 11.7% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Noah Brayer | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 16.4% | 20.2% | 16.8% | 7.4% |
| Samuel Campbell | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 11.8% | 15.0% | 14.3% | 12.5% | 8.4% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Kendal Richardson | 13.1% | 14.1% | 13.4% | 14.7% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Eley | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 12.0% | 16.6% | 19.0% | 13.2% | 7.3% | 3.7% |
| Thomas Balk | 6.8% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 13.2% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jade Forsberg | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 11.2% | 16.8% | 20.6% | 19.2% | 9.9% |
| Kurran Singh | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 13.2% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 8.4% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Martin Hooker | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 14.5% | 31.3% | 28.2% |
| Sabrina McDonnell | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 12.8% | 20.1% | 49.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.