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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.43+4.58vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.79+0.75vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.97+1.38vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.83+3.11vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.66+2.61vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.52-0.49vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.38-3.57vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.75-3.14vs Predicted
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10Wentworth Institute of Technology0.87-0.52vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.45-0.57vs Predicted
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12Middlebury College0.24-1.14vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.33-4.68vs Predicted
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14University of Connecticut-0.48-1.98vs Predicted
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15Brandeis University-0.91-2.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.58Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
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2.75Boston College3.790.3%1st Place
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4.38Roger Williams University2.970.1%1st Place
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7.11University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
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7.61Northeastern University1.660.0%1st Place
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5.51Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.520.1%1st Place
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3.43Tufts University3.380.2%1st Place
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4.86Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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9.48Wentworth Institute of Technology0.870.0%1st Place
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10.43University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.450.0%1st Place
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10.86Middlebury College0.240.0%1st Place
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8.32Boston University1.330.0%1st Place
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12.02University of Connecticut-0.480.0%1st Place
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12.65Brandeis University-0.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Balk | 7.5% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 12.7% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Richard Jones | 27.8% | 26.1% | 18.3% | 12.2% | 7.7% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kendal Richardson | 12.6% | 14.5% | 12.2% | 15.2% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 9.4% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Girard | 3.5% | 3.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 13.0% | 13.7% | 10.5% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Kurran Singh | 3.1% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 13.4% | 13.5% | 13.5% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Zachary Hall | 7.6% | 7.4% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 14.7% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Beatty | 21.0% | 19.6% | 15.6% | 14.2% | 13.3% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 10.6% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 8.9% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Eley | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 12.2% | 15.2% | 17.5% | 16.2% | 6.6% | 3.4% |
| Noah Brayer | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 16.0% | 20.1% | 16.0% | 7.0% |
| Jade Forsberg | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 11.0% | 17.0% | 19.4% | 20.4% | 10.0% |
| Samuel Campbell | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 12.4% | 14.2% | 13.9% | 13.1% | 8.2% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Martin Hooker | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 15.7% | 29.6% | 28.5% |
| Sabrina McDonnell | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 22.1% | 49.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.