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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.79+1.82vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.52+3.31vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.38+0.56vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.66+3.54vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.83+2.18vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.97-1.53vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.43-1.53vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.33+0.29vs Predicted
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9Wentworth Institute of Technology0.87+0.53vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.75-6.10vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.45-1.59vs Predicted
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13Middlebury College0.24-2.19vs Predicted
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14University of Connecticut-0.48-1.98vs Predicted
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15Brandeis University-0.91-2.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.82Boston College3.790.3%1st Place
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5.31Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.520.1%1st Place
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3.56Tufts University3.380.2%1st Place
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7.54Northeastern University1.660.0%1st Place
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7.18University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
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4.47Roger Williams University2.970.1%1st Place
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5.47Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
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8.29Boston University1.330.0%1st Place
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9.53Wentworth Institute of Technology0.870.0%1st Place
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4.9Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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10.41University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.450.0%1st Place
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10.81Middlebury College0.240.0%1st Place
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12.02University of Connecticut-0.480.0%1st Place
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12.68Brandeis University-0.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Jones | 30.8% | 21.9% | 16.5% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Hall | 8.0% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 12.9% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| James Beatty | 19.2% | 20.0% | 15.1% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kurran Singh | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 13.4% | 13.8% | 13.4% | 8.9% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Peter Girard | 3.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 15.3% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 4.0% | 0.5% | 0.6% |
| Kendal Richardson | 12.3% | 12.4% | 14.3% | 15.0% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Balk | 8.0% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Campbell | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 14.9% | 14.2% | 12.0% | 8.6% | 4.3% | 1.0% |
| Benjamin Eley | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 11.3% | 18.2% | 17.8% | 14.1% | 7.9% | 3.3% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 9.3% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 13.1% | 15.3% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Noah Brayer | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 12.2% | 15.5% | 20.3% | 16.7% | 6.1% |
| Jade Forsberg | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 18.0% | 20.9% | 17.9% | 10.0% |
| Martin Hooker | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 15.3% | 30.2% | 28.2% |
| Sabrina McDonnell | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 6.7% | 11.0% | 20.3% | 50.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.