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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.79+1.80vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.75+2.74vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.83+4.06vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.66+3.54vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.38-1.33vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.97-1.52vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.52-1.74vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.33+0.30vs Predicted
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9University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.45+1.39vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.43-5.27vs Predicted
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12Wentworth Institute of Technology0.87-2.49vs Predicted
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13Middlebury College0.24-2.16vs Predicted
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14Brandeis University-0.91-1.35vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut-0.48-2.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.8Boston College3.790.3%1st Place
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4.74Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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7.06University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
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7.54Northeastern University1.660.0%1st Place
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3.67Tufts University3.380.2%1st Place
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4.48Roger Williams University2.970.1%1st Place
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5.26Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.520.1%1st Place
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8.3Boston University1.330.0%1st Place
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10.39University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.450.0%1st Place
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5.73Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
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9.51Wentworth Institute of Technology0.870.0%1st Place
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10.84Middlebury College0.240.0%1st Place
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12.65Brandeis University-0.910.0%1st Place
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12.03University of Connecticut-0.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Jones | 32.1% | 21.2% | 16.9% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 10.6% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 13.6% | 11.6% | 14.1% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Girard | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 14.2% | 13.7% | 11.1% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Kurran Singh | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 15.5% | 13.7% | 9.2% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| James Beatty | 15.1% | 19.1% | 19.4% | 14.9% | 12.1% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kendal Richardson | 13.0% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 15.3% | 14.1% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Hall | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 12.9% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 4.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Campbell | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 13.8% | 13.5% | 12.9% | 8.9% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| Noah Brayer | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 12.3% | 20.8% | 18.1% | 15.8% | 6.5% |
| Thomas Balk | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 15.1% | 12.4% | 13.3% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Eley | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 12.6% | 14.4% | 15.9% | 16.0% | 8.8% | 2.7% |
| Jade Forsberg | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 6.7% | 12.0% | 15.2% | 21.6% | 17.7% | 11.1% |
| Sabrina McDonnell | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 10.6% | 20.9% | 50.6% |
| Martin Hooker | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 9.1% | 15.4% | 30.0% | 27.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.