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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.79+1.82vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.97+2.28vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.38+0.55vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.66+3.51vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.83+2.13vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.43-0.28vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.52-1.76vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.75-3.13vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.33-0.60vs Predicted
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10Wentworth Institute of Technology0.87-0.47vs Predicted
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12Middlebury College0.24-1.11vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.45-2.62vs Predicted
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14Brandeis University-0.91-1.36vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut-0.48-2.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.82Boston College3.790.3%1st Place
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4.28Roger Williams University2.970.1%1st Place
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3.55Tufts University3.380.2%1st Place
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7.51Northeastern University1.660.0%1st Place
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7.13University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
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5.72Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
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5.24Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.520.1%1st Place
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4.87Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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8.4Boston University1.330.0%1st Place
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9.53Wentworth Institute of Technology0.870.0%1st Place
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10.89Middlebury College0.240.0%1st Place
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10.38University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.450.0%1st Place
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12.64Brandeis University-0.910.0%1st Place
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12.02University of Connecticut-0.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Jones | 29.8% | 24.1% | 15.6% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kendal Richardson | 12.5% | 14.7% | 14.9% | 14.6% | 13.7% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Beatty | 18.9% | 18.9% | 16.7% | 14.8% | 12.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kurran Singh | 2.4% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 13.9% | 8.7% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Peter Girard | 3.2% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 13.6% | 13.2% | 10.6% | 7.3% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Thomas Balk | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 13.8% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Hall | 9.4% | 8.3% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 14.7% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 10.4% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Campbell | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 15.4% | 16.4% | 12.3% | 8.2% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Benjamin Eley | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 13.1% | 13.7% | 16.3% | 15.8% | 9.0% | 2.8% |
| Jade Forsberg | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 16.1% | 20.9% | 20.9% | 9.9% |
| Noah Brayer | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 13.6% | 17.4% | 19.2% | 14.4% | 7.3% |
| Sabrina McDonnell | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 20.0% | 50.6% |
| Martin Hooker | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 15.3% | 29.8% | 27.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.