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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.79+1.81vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.38+1.44vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.52+2.40vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.97+0.44vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.75+0.01vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.43-0.30vs Predicted
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7Wentworth Institute of Technology0.87+2.20vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.66-0.51vs Predicted
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9University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.45+1.37vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.33-2.56vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island1.83-4.82vs Predicted
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13Middlebury College0.24-2.18vs Predicted
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14University of Connecticut-0.48-1.99vs Predicted
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15Brandeis University-0.91-2.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.81Boston College3.790.3%1st Place
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3.44Tufts University3.380.2%1st Place
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5.4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.520.1%1st Place
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4.44Roger Williams University2.970.1%1st Place
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5.01Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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5.7Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
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9.2Wentworth Institute of Technology0.870.0%1st Place
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7.49Northeastern University1.660.0%1st Place
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10.37University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.450.0%1st Place
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8.44Boston University1.330.0%1st Place
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7.18University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
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10.82Middlebury College0.240.0%1st Place
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12.01University of Connecticut-0.480.0%1st Place
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12.69Brandeis University-0.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Jones | 31.5% | 22.8% | 15.8% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Beatty | 21.5% | 18.5% | 16.6% | 14.8% | 12.6% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Hall | 8.0% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 14.0% | 13.4% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Kendal Richardson | 10.6% | 14.2% | 15.7% | 15.0% | 12.7% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 8.2% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 14.0% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Balk | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 13.5% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Eley | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 14.9% | 16.7% | 14.7% | 7.5% | 2.0% |
| Kurran Singh | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 13.1% | 12.9% | 12.1% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Noah Brayer | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 13.2% | 17.1% | 20.8% | 15.1% | 6.4% |
| Samuel Campbell | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 15.7% | 13.3% | 13.0% | 8.4% | 4.1% | 1.2% |
| Peter Girard | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 14.3% | 12.9% | 11.6% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Jade Forsberg | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 17.3% | 20.2% | 18.9% | 10.3% |
| Martin Hooker | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 14.3% | 30.1% | 28.6% |
| Sabrina McDonnell | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 10.3% | 21.1% | 50.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.