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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.38+2.55vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.97+2.26vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.79-0.24vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.75+0.90vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.43+0.77vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.52-0.49vs Predicted
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7Wentworth Institute of Technology0.87+2.20vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.66-0.48vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.83-1.86vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.33-1.54vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.45-1.56vs Predicted
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13University of Connecticut-0.48-0.86vs Predicted
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14Brandeis University-0.91-1.36vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College0.24-4.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.55Tufts University3.380.2%1st Place
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4.26Roger Williams University2.970.1%1st Place
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2.76Boston College3.790.3%1st Place
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4.9Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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5.77Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
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5.51Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.520.1%1st Place
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9.2Wentworth Institute of Technology0.870.0%1st Place
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7.52Northeastern University1.660.0%1st Place
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7.14University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
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8.46Boston University1.330.0%1st Place
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10.44University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.450.0%1st Place
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12.14University of Connecticut-0.480.0%1st Place
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12.64Brandeis University-0.910.0%1st Place
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10.71Middlebury College0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Beatty | 19.1% | 19.7% | 18.3% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kendal Richardson | 13.3% | 15.3% | 13.6% | 13.7% | 13.9% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Richard Jones | 31.3% | 22.6% | 16.0% | 14.2% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 8.8% | 11.1% | 13.7% | 13.8% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 10.7% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Balk | 5.6% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 8.5% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Hall | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 13.9% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Eley | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 12.8% | 15.5% | 16.1% | 13.2% | 8.6% | 1.7% |
| Kurran Singh | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 13.6% | 10.2% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Peter Girard | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 13.7% | 11.2% | 7.4% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Campbell | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 11.7% | 14.5% | 14.3% | 13.7% | 9.1% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Noah Brayer | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 17.4% | 19.8% | 16.7% | 6.6% |
| Martin Hooker | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 8.5% | 17.1% | 27.0% | 31.4% |
| Sabrina McDonnell | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 9.9% | 20.9% | 51.0% |
| Jade Forsberg | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 14.8% | 21.7% | 19.7% | 8.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.