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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.97+3.70vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.43+3.80vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.38+0.80vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.83+3.48vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.66+2.97vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.75-0.66vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.79-4.07vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.52-2.25vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.84-3.94vs Predicted
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10Wentworth Institute of Technology0.87-0.21vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.45-0.39vs Predicted
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12Brandeis University-0.91+0.77vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College0.24-3.11vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut-0.48-2.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.7Roger Williams University2.970.1%1st Place
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5.8Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
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3.8Tufts University3.380.2%1st Place
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7.48University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
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7.97Northeastern University1.660.0%1st Place
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5.34Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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2.93Boston College3.790.3%1st Place
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5.75Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.520.1%1st Place
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5.06Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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9.79Wentworth Institute of Technology0.870.0%1st Place
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10.61University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.450.0%1st Place
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12.77Brandeis University-0.910.0%1st Place
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10.89Middlebury College0.240.0%1st Place
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12.11University of Connecticut-0.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendal Richardson | 11.1% | 12.6% | 14.9% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Balk | 6.9% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 13.6% | 12.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| James Beatty | 18.6% | 16.9% | 15.9% | 12.9% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Girard | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 13.3% | 15.2% | 12.4% | 9.3% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Kurran Singh | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 15.7% | 14.5% | 12.0% | 6.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 8.6% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Richard Jones | 28.5% | 22.0% | 15.8% | 14.8% | 8.7% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Hall | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 9.2% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 13.9% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Eley | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 17.0% | 18.9% | 16.4% | 8.8% | 3.6% |
| Noah Brayer | 0.3% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 12.1% | 18.5% | 22.5% | 15.9% | 6.6% |
| Sabrina McDonnell | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 6.0% | 10.7% | 22.5% | 50.6% |
| Jade Forsberg | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 11.2% | 16.5% | 22.3% | 18.1% | 11.0% |
| Martin Hooker | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 15.0% | 31.4% | 27.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.