Race 3A

cary-price

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Matthew Graham 31.7% 25.7% 17.6% 11.8% 6.5% 4.5% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
Geoff Pedrick 17.6% 20.7% 16.9% 15.3% 12.8% 8.7% 5.0% 2.1% 0.9%
Samuel Todd 6.4% 8.0% 11.2% 11.4% 13.2% 13.9% 14.8% 12.8% 8.3%
Phil Holt 4.4% 4.8% 5.9% 7.4% 11.5% 11.8% 15.1% 17.6% 21.5%
Adam Gilbertson 4.9% 5.6% 8.5% 9.5% 9.5% 11.9% 14.8% 15.8% 19.5%
Braden Solum 17.4% 17.9% 18.1% 17.1% 11.8% 8.7% 5.3% 2.8% 0.9%
William Schwenger 6.0% 5.5% 6.4% 9.5% 11.9% 12.9% 16.4% 17.4% 14.0%
Elizabeth Werley 4.4% 4.6% 6.5% 7.0% 9.1% 12.4% 13.4% 17.7% 24.9%
Eric Tobias 7.2% 7.2% 8.9% 11.0% 13.7% 15.2% 13.5% 13.4% 9.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.