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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Marquette University0.21+5.74vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University0.68+3.64vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan1.29+0.74vs Predicted
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4University of Notre Dame1.23+0.12vs Predicted
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5Purdue University-0.10+2.90vs Predicted
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6Hope College-0.31+2.73vs Predicted
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7Washington University0.09+0.18vs Predicted
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8University of Saint Thomas-0.03-0.36vs Predicted
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9Michigan Technological University0.97-4.00vs Predicted
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10Indiana University0.39-3.65vs Predicted
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11Western Michigan University-1.85+0.83vs Predicted
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12Grand Valley State University-1.70-0.24vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin0.13-6.10vs Predicted
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14Ohio State University-1.53-2.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.74Marquette University0.216.9%1st Place
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5.64Northwestern University0.689.8%1st Place
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3.74University of Michigan1.2920.0%1st Place
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4.12University of Notre Dame1.2317.9%1st Place
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7.9Purdue University-0.104.0%1st Place
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8.73Hope College-0.312.3%1st Place
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7.18Washington University0.096.1%1st Place
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7.64University of Saint Thomas-0.034.3%1st Place
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5.0Michigan Technological University0.9711.7%1st Place
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6.35Indiana University0.397.8%1st Place
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11.83Western Michigan University-1.850.9%1st Place
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11.76Grand Valley State University-1.700.8%1st Place
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6.9University of Wisconsin0.136.6%1st Place
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11.46Ohio State University-1.531.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Zettlemoyer | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Nicholas Chesemore | 9.8% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Billy Vogel | 20.0% | 18.6% | 14.7% | 13.7% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Payden Pittman | 17.9% | 14.9% | 15.9% | 13.0% | 10.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nathanael Green | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 4.2% | 1.1% |
| Caroline Henry | 2.3% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 12.6% | 13.4% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 2.5% |
| Xinshi Feng | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Rakesh Dhiman | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 4.5% | 0.8% |
| Lucas Rodenroth | 11.7% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Bryce Lesinski | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| William O'Haver | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 13.8% | 23.2% | 34.8% |
| Nathaniel Bacheller | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 8.2% | 14.1% | 24.3% | 32.9% |
| Nigel Yu | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Quinn Schwarz | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 16.0% | 24.8% | 26.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.